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Which Premier League matches offer bet value on FanDuel Sportsbook this week?
Let’s see where we can focus.
Please note that the lines are subject to change after the publication of this article which affects betting tips. All betting lines have been taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can Check here to see the most recent issues. You can also consult oddsFire to get a feel for what the betting public is doing for each game.
Crystal Palace v Tottenham
Tottenham to win -115
Tottenham have had a perfect start to the league this season at 3V-0D-0D. They won all three games by a score of 1-0, including a first-week victory over defending champions Manchester City.
On the other hand, Crystal Palace are 0-2-1 in their opening three games with a -3 goal differential. Looking back to last season, Tottenham finished seventh with an expected goal differential (xG) of +5.0, per FBRef, while Palace finished 14th with a differential of -25.0 xG, so there is clearly a big quality gap between the two teams.
Tottenham should expect to get all three points in this game, and getting Spurs to almost even chances of winning is a good bet.
Brentford vs. Brighton
Brighton win +175
Brentford is off to a good start in the EPL this season at 1-2-0, which is fantastic for a promoted team. However, the Bees finished third in the league last year, and their success in 2021-22 comes from an extremely small sample of three games.
Brighton is also having a good start to the season, and at 2-0-1 they lead Brentford in the standings. Brighton proved to be a solid EPL-caliber team for the duration of last season, finishing with a +13.9 xG differential despite a 16th place finish.
Brighton could be a sneaky side in the EPL this season, and they are off to a good start after a bizarre 2020-21 campaign. They should expect to win against the Bees, even though Brentford did better than expected to start the season.
Everton v Burnley
Everton win -135
Everton did well at the start of this campaign with a 2-1-0 start and a +2.9 xG differential over three match weeks. They face Burnley this weekend and the Clarets are 0-1-2 with a -2.4 xG differential.
There was also a big disparity between these two parties last year. Everton came in 10th with 59 points and a differential of -4.8 xG, against 17th for Burnley with 39 points and a differential of -17.7 xG. The Clarets are expected to be just as bad this season, and they’re +130 to be relegated which is the fourth best odds.
Everton have aspirations for the Europa League this season and are expected to secure a home victory over one of the relegation contenders.
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