Premier League predictions: Jones Knows predicts weekend wins for Leicester and Aston Villa | Soccer News
The Premier League returns with a series of exciting games this weekend and our tipster Jones Knows has you covered for betting ideas, predictions and angles.
Manchester City v Chelsea, Saturday 12:30 p.m.
It should be a gripping, albeit weak, encounter if my math and equations are correct.
Manchester City are racing towards the Premier League title, winning their last 11 league games and scoring 33 goals in the process. The odds of 4/6 with Sky Bet for a home win are likely to tempt many. Not me though.
Chelsea proved their winter wobble was just that, a wobble.
From the 40th minute of their 2-2 draw with Liverpool, Thomas Tuchel has been running his side like a well-oiled machine again. Tuchel had gotten the better of Man City on the last three occasions before the 1-0 defeat at Stamford Bridge earlier this season. In the four meetings between Pep Guardiola’s City and Tuchel’s Chelsea, only six goals were scored. Low scoring matches are a common denominator when it comes to Tuchel and important football matches.
In 19 such matches (Champions League knockouts, cup semi-finals and finals and Premier League top-four clashes), the average match goal tally stands at just 1.6 goals , with just two of those 19 going over the 2.5 goal line.
And despite City’s excellent goalscoring record, my brain quickly reminds me that in their last two Premier League games their attacking process has looked quite rusty. Against Brentford (1.04) and Arsenal (1.15), they posted their third and fourth lowest expected goals without penalty figures of the season and were very lucky to steal three points from the Gunners. That nagging doubt about their ability to create chances against a tight defense like Chelsea’s only adds fuel to a half-hearted encounter.
Therefore, I was surprised to see the under 2.5 goals traded at Evens with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
FOCUS ANGLE: Under 2.5 goals (Evens with Sky Bet)
Burnley v Leicester, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
The Leicester attack is humming along, and I want to get on board for that trip to Turf Moor at 7/5 with Sky Bet.
The Foxes have scored 27 goals in their last 11 games in all competitions – and that streak has included games against Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea. Meanwhile, they’ve scored two or more goals in 50% of their Premier League games this season, and if they reach that required goalscoring average in this game, it’s hard to see Burnley getting anything out of the game. . They have failed to score two goals in a game in any of their last six matches and are hungover from losing Chris Wood to Newcastle to deal with – with Maxwell Cornet being at the Africa Cup of Nations .
Few players are in better shape right now than James Maddison, and his scoring chances are worth adding to the winning away bet. Playing his favorite role up front, he has scored in four of his last five appearances.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
FOCUS ANGLE: James Maddison will score in a win at Leicester (9/2 with Sky Bet)
Newcastle vs Watford, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Just look at Watford’s next three games: Newcastle (a), Burnley (a) and Norwich (h), all over a seven-day period, starting with this trip to St James’ Park where, strangely, the he mood remains high in the league despite winning just one of 19 Premier League games this season and a cup exit at the hands of Cambridge. Local supporters will also be encouraged by the owners’ signal of intent to add quality to the ranks. In a game where margins will be tight and anxiety levels high, a vocal and supportive home crowd like St James’ Park is a big advantage in forming an opinion on the game.
Without any confidence on my part, I will side with Newcastle on this basis, but all three match results are easily contested in a very close affair to call.
Claudio Ranieri’s side currently sit outside the relegation zone on 13 points, but that could be a different story at the end of this mammoth week. They have lost their last seven matches in all competitions and remain without a clean sheet this season. Since November 20, these two teams have averaged 2.33 goals conceded per 90 minutes between them, so if you fancy one of the match results, sticking both teams to score in your bet seems like a smart play.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
FOCUS ANGLE: Newcastle winner and both teams to score (11/4 with Sky Bet)
Norwich v Everton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Another Norwich game, another nil win over their opponents cut their backs against West Ham. I had mistimed my jump from that particular train as I trusted Dean Smith’s side to at least score at West Ham – something their expected goals data also indicated – but if anything either, Norwich had their worst attacking performance under Smith. This is a huge concern as both Teemu Pukki and Milot Rashica were fit to start. Excuses are running out. It is now over 551 minutes since the Canaries scored in the Premier League.
However, if the season started on October 2, they wouldn’t be down. Everton would.
Rafa Benitez’s side have won just one of their last 12 Premier League games, taking six points out of 36. This is a situation where I don’t want to back either team to win , so the draw must be the 12/5 game with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Wolves v Southampton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
I know which team I’d rather pay to watch, but that’s not what you’re asking me here, is it? Wolves have the toughest chins in the Premier League, but it’s hard to get excited about analyzing or watching their games. Only five goals have been scored in their last eight Premier League appearances. Southampton scored four goals in one midweek game but are not known for their trustworthy finish when assessing long-term numbers. I will aim for a narrow victory at home.
I want the visitors to be smart enough to put themselves in dangerous positions against Wolves’ low block. I was tempted by their shot prices with 12 or more available at 5/4 but went back to an old friend who has served me well this season. The Southampton Corners Bet.
Southampton have won the fifth most corners in the Premier League this season (114), racking up a tally of 2, 6. 8, 7, 7 from their last five away matches as the attacking nature of their full- backs mean plenty of opportunities for corners won in the channels.
Sky Bet’s line for them to win five or more at Evens certainly has a strong chance of landing.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0
FOCUS ANGLE: Southampton will win five or more corners (Evens with Sky Bet)
Aston Villa vs Manchester United, Saturday 5.30pm, live on Sky Sports
I had to check the prices three times to make sure there was no mistake. Yes, Manchester United are really favorites to win this football match.
Looking purely at their results under Ralf Rangnick, their label as jollies 6/5 with Sky Bet would seem respectable. But for those trying to get ahead of the markets wherever possible, performance levels and key metrics are much more reliable for assessing a team’s overall form line. And it doesn’t take an analytical genius to conclude that Manchester United are struggling in almost every area of their game under the new boss. All you need is a pair of eyes.
How Aston Villa were knocked out of the FA Cup at Old Trafford was a bit of a mystery. But revenge seems to be on the cards at Villa Park. The no bet draw at 5/4 for Steven Gerrard’s side is a confident bet.
Saturday January 15 5:00 p.m.
Kick off 5:30 p.m.
Of course, at some point, such is the talent of the individuals within the United team, their performance levels will skyrocket and make a prediction of this nature very foolish. But from what we’ve seen of this hugely inconsistent and frustrating set of players against Norwich, Newcastle and Burnley over the past few weeks, they just have to be faced.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
FOCUS ANGLE: Aston Villa draw no bet (5/4 with Sky Bet)
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