Premier League predictions: Jones Knows thinks Spurs could struggle at Nottingham Forest | Soccer News
Jones Knows thinks Spurs could struggle at the City Ground against Nottingham Forest, live on Sky Sports
The winners highlighted last weekend…
- Marc Cucurella will have 2+ shots (11/4)
- Arsenal win to zero (11/8)
- Southampton beat Leicester 2-1 (11/1)
- Wolves +2 handicap vs Spurs (8/11)
- Over 50 booking points at Fulham vs Brentford (5/4)
Aston Villa v West Ham, Sunday 2 p.m.
Is this the beginning of the end of West Ham’s glory days under David Moyes?
He has done remarkable things but he is certainly at a crossroads. It’s just one win in either side’s last 10 Premier League games of the summer and they were second in every department in the 2-0 home loss to Brighton.
One thing Moyes has done exceptionally well is signing players who have taken over. Now may be the time to add these players to refresh confidence and spark a first XI that may be a bit outdated, especially in midfield where axis Declan Rice and Tomas Soucek no longer work. Rice needs a new partner.
With Tottenham and Chelsea coming after this one, Moyes would really need a reaction from his side, who remain the only side yet to score in England’s top four leagues this season. Will there be one? It’s hard to be confident based on what Brighton did to them last weekend.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0
Wolves vs Newcastle, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Callum Wilson’s hamstring injury that will rule him out for four weeks has ended the drought problem in my part of the country. Having had a good bet on him to make the England squad this winter at 11/1 and 6/1, my tears solved the lack of water.
My first instinct was to draw that Wilson’s absence was very bad news for Newcastle with Chris Wood likely to replace him as centre-forward – but the numbers told me otherwise. Since signing for Newcastle, Wood has started 15 Premier League games and the club have won nine of those games, recording a healthy 60% strike rate. He may have scored just two goals in 1,353 minutes of action – one of them was a penalty in the 1-0 win over Wolves – but his presence and all-round play seem to benefit the crew.
So, with Wood’s low goal threat, it opens up the goalscoring market to have a pop on a Newcastle player to score the opening goal. Joe Willock is definitely a runner at 18/1 with Sky Bet because he’s a dangerous player and a natural finisher – but I can’t let Dan Burn is unsupported at 66/1.
Wolves conceded the second-highest expected goals figure from set pieces so far this season (1.69) – a small sample of course – but they looked a very technical and tiny side against Spurs except for the two centre-backs, so that wouldn’t be the case. surprise me if this area of defense becomes a problem for them in the long run.
Burn threatened to open his account for Newcastle, missing a free header from 12 yards in the recent 0-0 draw with Brighton – one of five shots he has had on goal so far this season. If you stretch the data to his arrival at Newcastle in January, he ranks fifth in the Premier League in average touches into the opposition box per 90 minutes (1.58) and sixth in total shots per 90 ( 0.84). He is the primary target for all of Newcastle’s set pieces and sooner or later a huge chance is going to present itself. It could be this weekend.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS THE BEST BET: Dan Burn will score first (66/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Most of my pre-season bets look pretty ominous.
Leicester finish in the top six (yes, really), Callum Wilson top scorer in the Premier League and make the England team and Tottenham a trophy.
You may raise your eyebrows at the latter as Spurs have taken seven points from three games, but the boys’ performance levels are concerning. A much more forward-thinking side than Wolves would have enjoyed just as good attacking opportunities in the first half last weekend, while Antonio Conte’s men were completely outplayed by Chelsea in the 2-2 draw .
I wouldn’t go anywhere near them at Nottingham Forest at 4/9 with Sky Bet to record a maximum of points, especially since it is a live great sunday game at a dynamic, rocking City Ground. One thing Spurs are deadly at under Conte is scoring at the right time in games and there is a certain unknown about this new Forest side so match markets are not a bet for me.
I like the look of a price on the knock market. Nottingham Forest to have 11 shots or more will undoubtedly give you a great run for your money at 6/5 with Sky Bet. Since Conte took charge of Spurs, they are prone to defending deep and that usually allows the opposition to pile up the shots on their goal. Away under Conte, Spurs have conceded an average of 16.5 shots per game on goal, including 19 at Leeds and 15 at Burnley and Brentford.
Forest managed 13 shots in their home clash with West Ham despite defending a lead for 45 minutes. I would expect their home games to be full of action and offensive intent this season, so the 11-shot line seems like a generous price when you factor in the opposition and the atmosphere probably intense.